If the primaries were held today, President Trump would win in a landslide according to the latest polling from a Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll poll. The polling question was simple and merely asked voters who they would support for the Republican nomination. 58% chose Trump and in a distant second place was Mike Pence with 13%. Ron DeSantis was third with 9%. Nikki Haley and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) are tied with 3% each for fourth place.
No other possible Republican presidential contender in 2024 comes close to matching Trump’s popularity. I am surprised that Pence came in second. He must have gotten the RINO vote. I would have thought that DeSantis would have been in second place. I am convinced that if Trump doesn’t run, DeSantis would win in a walk. He is the second most admired Republican in the race.
As Mark Penn, the co-director of the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll study, put it:
“While defeated candidates rarely come back, Trump has a strong lead in the Republican primary especially among the most dedicated Republicans.”
The thing that I find hard to believe is that according to the poll if Trump is not included, Pence gets 32% to 20% for DeSantis. Ted Cruz would finish third at 14%. I love Ted Cruz but he turns off a lot of voters. If he is the nominee, I think he would lose. After 8 months of Joe Biden, many voters have decided we would be much better off with Trump.
Penn claims that being banned by Twitter and Facebook has helped Trump because he isn’t posting combative posts which just proves that Penn has no idea why Trump is so popular. In the last 50 years or so, only three presidents did not cater to special interests. They are John Kennedy, Ronald Reagan, and Donald Trump.
It was performed from September 15 to 16 among 1,578 registered voters, including 490 Republicans, in a poll done by Harvard CAPS and Harris Poll. The sample of Republicans has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, according to the survey. The survey was conducted in cooperation with the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and the Harris Poll on behalf of the University of Chicago.
The complete poll results will be available on the internet later this week. Respondents are recruited on a randomized manner via voter panel providers, and their answers are subsequently weighted to match known demographic characteristics. The results of this representative survey, which was conducted online, do not provide a probability confidence range.